$2,400 across 23 AppSumo deals over three years. Here’s the honest accounting.
The Basic Maths
A $99 one-time deal for software costing $49/month breaks even in 2 months. If the tool lasts 2+ years, you’ve saved over $1,000. The economics are excellent — when the tool survives.
My Real Portfolio Results (23 Deals)
9 tools (39%): still actively using. 6 tools (26%): still available but use case changed. 5 tools (22%): discontinued or severely degraded. 3 tools (13%): pivoted away. Net: about 65% delivered meaningful value.
Signals That Predict a Good Deal
Company age matters: Tools around 2+ years before AppSumo are significantly more likely to survive. Active changelog: Last update 6+ months ago = warning sign. Clear business model: Can you see how they make sustainable revenue beyond AppSumo?
Honest verdict: AppSumo is excellent with discipline. Only buy tools you need right now. Vet company age and changelog. Accept 1 in 5 will disappoint. The 4 in 5 that deliver make the maths very much in your favour.
